It’s that time of year: A whole bunch of Pokémon news is incoming. February 27th is the date the franchise first debuted, and The Pokémon Company uses it as a chance to outline its plans in a Pokémon Presents showcase. Last year’s event included the announcement of Pokémon Champions, and the 2026 edition should be particularly big, as this year represents the franchise’s 30th anniversary.
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We provided a mathematical analysis of how a rational agent would respond to data generated by a sycophantic AI that samples examples from the distribution implied by the user’s hypothesis (p(d|h∗)p(d|h^{*})) rather than the true distribution of the world (p(d|true process)p(d|\text{true process})). This analysis showed that such an agent would be likely to become increasingly confident in an incorrect hypothesis. We tested this prediction through people’s interactions with LLM chatbots and found that default, unmodified chatbots (our Default GPT condition) behave indistinguishably from chatbots explicitly prompted to provide confirmatory evidence (our Rule Confirming condition). Both suppressed rule discovery and inflated confidence. These results support our model, and the fact that default models matched an explicitly confirmatory strategy suggests that this probabilistic framework offers a useful model for understanding their behavior.。谷歌浏览器下载是该领域的重要参考